Paper: Hopcroft et al 2021

Title: Using the mid-Holocene greening of the Sahara to narrow acceptable ranges on climate model parameters

For a fuller description of the paper itself, go to the end of this web page.

Each simulation published in this paper corresponds to a unique 5 or 6 character code on the web pages.
The following table lists the name of the simulation as used in the paper, and the corresponding code name

The webpage gives you the ability to examine the published simulations, but you can also download the raw (netcdf) files to perform your own analysis. Detailed instructions on how to use the webpages and access the data can be found here: Using_BRIDGE_webpages.pdf

You can have make you own analysis and plots by going here

Simulation Name as in PaperSimulation name on web pages
PI_1xnvea
PI_2xnveb
PI_3xnvec
PI_4xnved
PI_5xnvee
PI_6xnvef
PI_7xnveg
PI_8xnveh
PI_9xnvei
PI_10xnvej
PI_11xnvek
PI_12xnvel
PI_13xnvem
PI_14xnven
PI_15xnveo
PI_16xnvep
PI_17xnveq
PI_18xnver
PI_19xnves
PI_20xnvet
PI_21xnveu
PI_22xnvev
PI_23xnvew
PI_24xnvex
PI_25xnvey
PI_26xnvez
PI_27xnveA
PI_28xnveB
PI_29xnveC
PI_30xnveD
PI_31xnveE
PI_32xnveF
PI_33xnveG
PI_34xnveH
PI_35xnveI
PI_36xnveJ
PI_37xnveK
PI_38xnveL
PI_39xnveM
PI_40xnveN
PI_41xnveO
PI_42xnveP
PI_43xnveQ
PI_44xnveR
PI_45xnveS
PI_46xnveT
PI_47xnveU
PI_48xnveV
PI_49xnveW
PI_50xnveX
PI_51xnveY
PI_52xnveZ
PI_53xnve0
PI_54xnve1
PI_55xnve2
PI_56xnve3
PI_57xnve4
PI_58xnve5
PI_59xnve6
PI_60xnve7
PI_61xnve8
PI_62xnvfa
PI_63xnvfb
PI_64xnvfc
PI_65xnvfd
PI_66xnvfe
PI_67xnvff
PI_68xnvfg
PI_69xnvfh
PI_70xnvfi
PI_71xnvfj
PI_72xnvfk
PI_73xnvfl
PI_74xnvfm
PI_75xnvfn
PI_76xnvfo
PI_77xnvfp
PI_78xnvfq
PI_79xnvfr
PI_80xnvfs
PI_81xnvft
PI_82xnvfu
PI_83xnvfv
PI_84xnvfw
PI_85xnvfx
PI_86xnvfy
PI_87xnvfz
PI_88xnvfA
PI_89xnvfB
PI_90xnvfC
PI_91xnvfD
PI_92xnvfE
PI_93xnvfF
PI_94xnvfG
PI_95xnvfH
PI_96xnvfI
PI_97xnvfJ
PI_98xnvfK
PI_99xnvfL
PI_100xnvfM
PI_101xnvfN
PI_102xnvfO
PI_103xnvfP
PI_104xnvfQ
PI_105xnvfR
PI_106xnvfS
PI_107xnvfT
PI_108xnvfU
PI_109xnvfV
PI_110xnvfW
PI_111xnvfX
PI_112xnvfY
PI_113xnvfZ
PI_114xnvf0
PI_115xnvf1
PI_116xnvf2
PI_117xnvf3
PI_118xnvf4
PI_119xnvf5
PI_120xnvf6
PI_121xnvf7
PI_122xnvga
PI_123xnvgb
PI_124xnvgc
PI_125xnvgd
PI_126xnvge
PI_127xnvgf
PI_128xnvgg
PI_129xnvgh
PI_130xnvgi
PI_131xnvgj
PI_132xnvgk
PI_133xnvgl
PI_134xnvgm
PI_135xnvgn
PI_136xnvgo
PI_137xnvgp
PI_138xnvgq
PI_139xnvgr
PI_140xnvgs
PI_141xnvgt
PI_142xnvgu
PI_143xnvgv
PI_144xnvgw
PI_145xnvgx
PI_146xnvgy
PI_147xnvgz
PI_148xnvgA
PI_149xnvgB
PI_150xnvgC


This is a fuller description of paper

This archive contains the climatologies of 150 member perturbed parameter ensemble of pre-industrial, mid-Holocene and 2xCO2 simulations with a modified version of HadAM3.

NameHopcroft et al
Brief DescriptionThis archive contains the climatologies of 150 member perturbed parameter ensemble of pre-industrial, mid-Holocene and 2xCO2 simulations with a modified version of HadAM3.
Full Author ListPeter O. Hopcroft and Paul J. Valdes and William Ingram
TitleUsing the mid-Holocene greening of the Sahara to narrow acceptable ranges on climate model parameters
Year2021
JournalGeophysical Research Letters
Volume48(6)
Issue
Pagese2020GL092043
DOI10.1029/2020GL092043
Contact's NamePeter O. Hopcroft
Contact's emailp.hopcroft@bham.ac.uk
AbstractDuring the early to mid-Holocene vegetation expanded to cover much of the present-day Sahara. Although driven by the different orbital configuration, general circulation models have largely failed to simulate the required rainfall increase. One possible explanation is the presence of systematic biases in the representation of atmospheric convection that could also impact future projections. We employ a Bayesian method to learn from an ensemble of present day and mid-Holocene simulations that vary parameters in the convection, boundary layer and cloud schemes. We show that the 'Green' Sahara rainfall can be \peter{reproduced} by %increasing convective mixing in the upper troposphere and reducing it near the surface, increasing mixing between convective plumes and the environment in the upper troposphere relative to lower down, introducing a new approach to this long-standing discrepancy. This does not appreciably impact the present day simulation but it alters the precipitation response to elevated CO2. Developing parameterisation schemes using only historical observations is necessary, but we show that palaeoclimate changes can provide powerful additional constraints for model improvement.